An aging population places unique demands on the health‑care system. In the United States, older adults are growing faster than any other age group; the U.S. Census Bureau reports that between 2020 and 2024 the older population grew 13 % while the number of children declined 1.7 %, reducing the age‑gap between these groups 1. As recently as 2020 only three states (Maine, Vermont and Florida) had more older adults than children, but by 2024 the number of such states increased to 11 as Delaware, Hawaii, Montana, New Hampshire, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island and West Virginia joined the ranks 2.
In parallel, the health‑care workforce must expand; according to the U.S.
Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) employment in health‑care occupations is projected to grow much faster than the average for all occupations
from 2023‑2033, with about 1.9 million openings each year due to
growth and retirements 3.
A shortage of specialists is already evident; the American Geriatrics Society notes that in 2021 only 7,454 board‑certified geriatricians were practicing in the U.S.—far short of the ≈30,000 needed by 2030—and Missouri had just 111 geriatricians in 2022 4.
Choosing a state for retirement or aging in place therefore depends not only on climate and family proximity but also on the underlying health‑care infrastructure. To identify states where seniors are likely to receive excellent care, this analysis reviews official data from the U.S.
Census Bureau, BLS, Kaiser Family Foundation (KFF), Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS), Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), the American Association of Medical Colleges (AAMC) and the American Geriatrics Society (AGS).
We evaluate three dimensions: Cost, Access and Quality, assign categorical scores (1 = best, 3 = worst), and produce an overall ranking for all 50 states and the District of Columbia.
Methodology
Cost:
Cost measures how expensive the health‑care system is for each state’s
residents. The CMS National Health Expenditure (NHE) accounts provide
per‑capita spending by state of residence. In 2020 per‑person health
spending ranged from about $13,642 in high‑spending states to $8,148
in low‑spending states.5
The CMS notes that regions such as New England and the Mideast have the highest per‑capita spending, while the Rocky Mountain and Southwest regions have the lowest levels 6. KFF’s Health Spending per Capita indicator (based on these CMS data) ranks New York, Alaska, Massachusetts, Delaware and West Virginia among the most expensive states and Utah, Idaho, Nevada, Texas and Colorado among the least expensive.
For this analysis states falling into the top five for per‑capita spending are
labeled high‑cost (score = 3), those in the bottom five are low‑cost
(score = 1), and all others receive a medium cost score of 2.
Access:
Access measures the availability of health‑care providers. AAMC’s 2023
U.S. Physician Workforce Data reports that the country had about
85 primary‑care physicians per 100,000 population in 2022 and that
the District of Columbia (257), Massachusetts (138) and Vermont
(138) had the highest densities 7. The same report notes that states like Utah (66) and Mississippi (70) had the fewest primary‑care physicians per 100,000 people 8.
Additionally, the District of Columbia and Massachusetts had the highest
number of active physicians per population, while Idaho had the lowest 9. To approximate access, states in the top tier for physician density (District of Columbia, Massachusetts, Vermont, Maine, Rhode Island and New York) are labeled high‑access (score = 1).
States with the lowest density of primary‑care physicians or general surgeons (Utah, Mississippi, Idaho, Oklahoma, Texas and Nevada) receive a low‑access score of 3; the rest are assigned a medium score of 2.
Quality:
Quality captures health outcomes. The CDC’s U.S. State Life Tables 2021 provides life expectancy at age 65 for each state. The report notes that Hawaii ranked first, with life expectancy at age 65 of 20.6 years,
while Mississippi ranked last at 16.1 years 10.
States with the highest life expectancy at 65 were concentrated in the West and Northeast, whereas the lowest were mostly in the South 11.
Using these findings, states in the top tier of senior life expectancy
(Hawaii, California, Colorado, Connecticut, New York, Massachusetts,
Minnesota, New Hampshire and New Jersey) receive a high‑quality score of 1.
States with the lowest life expectancy (Mississippi, West Virginia,
Alabama, Louisiana, Oklahoma, Kentucky, Arkansas, Tennessee and New Mexico) are labeled low quality (score = 3); the remainder receive a medium score of 2.